H ere's where Tammy is located today . Hurricane Tammy Case Study Responses ...
and where it's headed: Tammy's center is just east of Guadeloupe as it moves toward the northwest. Tammy has strengthened modestly since Friday night.
The storm enhanced into a hurricane on Friday morning in the tropical Atlantic. This is an unusual area for a cyclone to form this late in the year, according to Dr. Phil Klotzbach, a tropical researcher at Colorado State University.
By early in the week ahead, Tammy ought to turn northward, then northeastward out to sea and not be an issue for the continental United States.
The route northward far from the Caribbean has actually become less certain. Tammy was initially anticipated to be recorded by a cold front by the middle of the upcoming week, however computer system guidance is now suggesting that the storm might wander around between Puerto Rico and Bermuda for a long time.
Hurricane Katrina (August 2005) became a large and extremely effective cyclone that triggered enormous destruction and significant loss of life. It is the costliest hurricane to ever strike the United States, going beyond the record previously held by Hurricane Andrew from 1992.
Typhoon Katrina - Wikipedia
The biggest loss of life in Typhoon Katrina was because of flooding caused by engineering flaws in the flood defense system, especially the levee around the city of New Orleans. Eventually, 80% of the city, in addition to large locations in surrounding parishes, were flooded for weeks.
Typhoon cautions have now been released for a number of islands in the northeast Caribbean. That suggests cyclone conditions are expected in a few of these locations. You can see the current cautions and watches in the map listed below.
Heavy rainfall, strong winds and high browse from Tammy must spread out throughout the eastern Caribbean islands through Saturday. Those effects will last through a minimum of early Sunday in some areas.
Rainfall overalls could be 4 to 8 inches (in your area as much as 12 inches) in the Leeward Islands. The northern Windward Islands might see 2 to 4 inches of rain (locally as much as 6 inches). Parts of eastern Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands could see 1 to 2 inches of rainfall (in your area up to 4 inches).
T he heavy rainfall could cause flooding and mudslides in some of these areas.
Norma, now a Classification 1 storm since 2 p.m. ET, is expected to move over or near parts of Mexico's Baja California Sur-- including Cabo San Lucas-- late Saturday afternoon or early evening, the National Typhoon Center said.
Flying Force Reserve Hurricane Hunters observed Norma's center situated offshore just west of Cabo San Lucas on Saturday afternoon, and typhoon and conditions were happening over some locations of of southern Baja California Sur, according to the typhoon center.
Norma is expected to be somewhat weaker by the time it strikes land, however it still will be a typhoon that could bring lethal conditions to a tourist-friendly region that's home to a few hundred thousand individuals, the hurricane center stated.
In the Atlantic Ocean, on the other hand, Cyclone Tammy-- a Category 1 storm since Saturday afternoon-- has triggered hurricane cautions for portions of the Leeward Islands, a chain of a number of island nations and territories between the Caribbean Sea and the open Atlantic. Tammy's winds picked up speed to 85 miles per hour.
Neither storm is a risk to the US.
In the Atlantic, Tammy preserved maximum continual winds of 85 miles per hour and was focused about 25 miles north-northeast of Guadeloupe, the National Cyclone Center said at 2 p.m. ET.
The Category 1 hurricane was located about 50 miles southeast of Antigua by Saturday afternoon, the hurricane center said.
Tammy is anticipated to move near or over portions of the Leeward Islands-- including Guadeloupe and Antigua and Barbuda-- through Saturday night, and then move north of the northern Leeward Islands on Sunday.
Hurricane-force winds extended external up to 25 miles from the storm's center and tropical storm-force winds extended outward approximately 125 miles.
Hurricanes in this part of the Atlantic are unusual for late October. Tammy is only the third typhoon to form this far southeast in the Atlantic given that 1900, according to cyclone professional Michael Lowry.
It's also the latest-forming cyclone in this part of the Atlantic given that 1966, according to Phil Klotzbach, a research study researcher in the Department of Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University.
Cyclone experts formerly alerted typhoons might form in uncommon areas later on in the season this year because of the incredibly warm Atlantic Ocean.
A storm surge of 1 to 3 feet is possible for parts of the Leeward Islands.
Heavy rainfall will be among the storm's most major hazards and could lead to flash flooding and mudslides. Rainfall overalls for the Leeward Islands are anticipated to be 4 to 8 inches, but could reach a foot in places where the heaviest rain sets up. Rain needs to be lighter in Puerto Rico and the British and United States Virgin Islands, where 1 to 2 inches of rain is more than likely.
Conditions will begin to improve from south to north across the island chain by late Sunday as the storm moves north out of the area.
With Tammy in the Atlantic, just two names are left-- Vince and Whitney-- on the standard Atlantic storm name list before the hurricane center turns to an alternate list of names.
Hurricane Tammy